
Welcome to 2026. Fall 2025 was an interesting one for real estate in Northern Colorado, well all of 2025 was interesting. Last year brought us one of the strongest buyers markets we have seen in a long time. Many were saying it was the strongest buyers market in over seven years. Sellers wanting or needing to sell in in the market had to do more than price their home right. Often, the only way to get a buyer to write a contract on the home was to price below comparable sales and offer closing costs too. Buyers in the market in the fall of 2025 did not feel the sense of urgency. The buyers looking to buy were showing they wanted to feel like they were getting a deal. If the home was not a deal, they would continue to look.
Lack of urgency
The lack of urgency from buyers explained why homes were sitting on the market longer. This also explained why price reductions across all price ranges were common. Interest rates for mortgages remained stubbornly steady in the 6.25% to the 6.5% range. Some buyer had the mindset that the rate for a mortgage should be below 6%. If they were there, they were going to wait until they did drop to that point. The feds adjusting short term interest rates can have little affect on mortgage rates. However, buyers feel that if he feds reduce rates, it means that mortgage rates should fall too.
Supply and demand
As we start the new year in Larimer and Weld counties, we have approximately 1,200 active, listings on the market, per county. It is important to compare that number to get an understanding of what that number means. In 2022, inventory in Northern Colorado was at an all time low. We were seeing only 350 active, available homes for sale, in each county. As an additional comparison, we were in the financial crisis of 2008, we had double the number of homes for sale that we do now. So we have inventory climbing but still much lower than in the peak of the mortgage crisis. We seem to be sitting right in the middle. The most important things is demand. It does not matter how much is on the market, as much as it matter what the demand is for what is there.
Predictions
Beginning in January or starting in March, we will be moving into what is typically our strongest demand time of year. It will be interesting to see what buyer behavior will be for 2026. Homes in many price ranges were selling at 97 to 98% if asking price in December of 2025. As demand picks up this spring what should we expect? Zillow is projecting just over a one percent increase in median prices nationally, over the next year. The National Association of Realtors is predicting over two percent increase in median prices. These are modest national projections. Northern Colorado does not always follow national trends. We should expect as we move into the new year that prices will start to climb, January through June. Then as demand slows prices have tendency to slow their movement upward. This is based on historical data.
2026 is a new year filled with questions and predictions. We will all have to wait and see what will really happen.









